Use Cases
Who Uses Cade Market
Probability intelligence has a different job in each context. Here is how analysts across risk, investment, and security use calibrated scores.
Primary Roles
Built for Analysts Who Need a Number
Each role uses probability scores differently. Cade Market is designed so that the same data layer serves multiple analytical jobs without requiring customization.
Corporate Risk
Corporate Risk Analysts
Risk functions need defensible probability estimates before outcomes occur. Cade Market gives corporate risk analysts a sourced, timestamped score they can attach to a decision record without manual synthesis.
- Pre-decision probability documentation
- Threshold alerts for country or sector risk changes
- Board-ready risk briefings with sourced probability
Investment
Portfolio Managers
Political and economic event risk affects asset performance. Portfolio managers use Cade Market probability scores to quantify event tail risk, build scenario analyses, and time hedging decisions.
- Quantified political tail risk per position
- API feed into risk models and portfolio systems
- Event probability history for backtesting
Security
Corporate Security Teams
Security teams tracking civil unrest, armed conflict escalation, or border risk need a forward probability, not a retrospective news summary. Cade Market gives them a score before the headline.
- Escalation probability for security planning
- Country-level risk scores with source attribution
- Threshold alerts for travel and asset risk reviews
Intelligence
Geopolitical Intelligence Units
Analyst teams at research institutions and consultancies use Cade Market as a data layer under their own analysis. The structured JSON API delivers scored event data that integrates with proprietary frameworks.
- Structured probability data under proprietary analysis
- Source weight transparency for cross-checking
- Historical score export for calibration validation
How It Fits
From Raw Intelligence to Decision Input
Cade Market does not replace analyst judgment. It handles the aggregation and calibration step, so analysts start with a number instead of building one from scratch.
Monitor Events
Set up event monitoring for countries, sectors, or event categories relevant to your risk mandate. Cade Market tracks continuously and updates scores as signals arrive.
Review Scores
The dashboard presents current probability, confidence interval, source attribution, and score delta. Analysts review the score and the source trace behind it.
Integrate or Export
Pull scores into your own risk models via the API, or export to CSV for reports. Scores are versioned and time-stamped for audit trail requirements.
Act with Evidence
Attach the probability score and source snapshot to a decision record. Document the expected probability at decision time, not after the outcome is known.
Frequently Asked
Common Questions
No. Cade Market ingests news and structured intelligence as source signals, but its output is a probability score with a confidence interval, not a news summary. Analysts receive a calibrated number, not a feed of articles.
Political risk ratings are country-level static scores updated quarterly. Cade Market scores specific events with probabilities that update in near real-time as signals change. The output is event-specific and includes a confidence interval, not a country grade.
Yes. The JSON API is designed for integration into proprietary risk models and frameworks. Scores are structured data with source attribution and uncertainty bounds, not narrative reports that require human reformatting.
Start With Your Use Case
Tell us which events you track and we will show you how Cade Market probability scores fit your workflow.